Stunning new poll shows Trump leads Biden among Hispanic, young voters — as Biden hemorrhages support from black voters

It may be a new year, but President Joe Biden is facing the same bad news about his re-election prospects.

A new USA Today/Suffolk University poll discovered that Biden is hemorrhaging support among Hispanic voters, black voters, and young voters — three demographic groups critical to his 2020 election victory.

In 2020, Biden won the Hispanic vote by a 33-point margin over Donald Trump, 65% to 32%. But the new poll found that Biden is now trailing Trump among Hispanic voters by a five-point margin, 39% to 34%.

The poll, moreover, found that Biden's support among black voters has shrunk by a whopping 24 points. Whereas he won the black vote by 87% in 2020, now just 63% of black voters support Biden. Trump, on the other hand, received 12% of support among black voters in the poll, the same share he won in the 2020 election.

Among voters under age 35, Trump leads Biden by four points, 37% to 33%, the USA Today/Suffolk University poll found.

These results, coming just 10 months before the election, are stunning. Their impact lies in the fact that each of these voter groups traditionally comprise a significant portion of the Democratic voter base. That Trump leads Biden in two of those groups demonstrates just how unpopular a candidate Biden is.

USA Today tried to soften the blow by claiming the "possible good news" for Biden is that his declining support "has drifted to third-party candidates," not Trump.

But that may not be the case, according to David Paleologos, director of Suffolk's Political Research Center.

"Although Trump hasn't grown support among black voters, he has closed the deficit because third-party voters come off of Biden's support among blacks," Paleologos told USA Today. "A young voter or a person of color voting 'third party' is a vote away from President Biden, and a vote away from President Biden is a vote for Donald Trump."

Trump now leads Biden by an average of 2.3% in major polls, according to RealClearPolitics. He never led Biden in the run-up to the 2020 election.

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