Biden campaign tries to cope with brutal NY Times poll showing nothing but bad news for them: 'An array of warning signs'

The newest New York Times/Sienna College poll shows President Joe Biden is down bad — and the Biden campaign is having a difficult time coping with that reality.

Released on Saturday, the poll shows:

• Donald Trump leads Biden: The former president commands a respectable 5-point lead over Biden — 48% to 43% — with just eight months until Election Day
• Country going the wrong way: The overwhelming majority of registered voters — 65% to 24% — believe the country is headed in the wrong direction
  
• Biden approval: The majority of respondents — 61% — disapprove of Biden's job as president, including 47% who "strongly disapprove"; only 36% who approve
  
• Favorability: More registered voters have a favorable opinion of Trump than Biden, 43% to 38%
  
• Biden too old: A majority, 73%, of respondents said Biden is too old to be president, compared to just 42% who said the same of Trump
  
• What can you do for me: Fewer than 20% of registered voters believe Biden's policies have helped them, whereas 40% said Trump's personally helped them
  
• Economy is bad: A majority of respondents, 51%, described the economy as "poor," while another 23% described it as "only fair"

The survey, moreover, "offers an array of warning signs" for Biden that his weaknesses are splintering the Democratic coalition, according to the New York Times.

As proof: the poll shows Trump beating Biden among Hispanic voters while being tied among female voters. Trump also garnered support from 23% of black voters — a sure sign that Democrats are hemorrhaging the core of their support.

Even worse for Biden is the fact that nearly all of Trump's 2020 supporters plan to vote for him in 2024, whereas Biden is currently losing a sizable chunk of his 2020 constituency.

The Times explained:

Mr. Trump’s ability to consolidate the Republican base better than Mr. Biden has unified the base of his own party shows up starkly in the current thinking of 2020 voters. Mr. Trump is winning 97 percent of those who say they voted for him four years ago, and virtually none of his past supporters said they are casting a ballot for Mr. Biden. In contrast, Mr. Biden is winning only 83 percent of his 2020 voters, with 10 percent saying they now back Mr. Trump.

Despite these warning signs — which poll after poll after poll have showed for the majority of the 2024 contest — Biden's campaign is dismissing the results.

"Polling continues to be at odds with how Americans vote, and consistently overestimates Donald Trump while underestimating President Biden," said Michael Tyler, communications director for Biden's campaign.

Tyler added that "actual voter behavior tells us a lot more than any poll does and it tells a very clear story: Joe Biden and Democrats continue to outperform while Donald Trump and the party he leads are weak, cash-strapped, and deeply divided."

But is that true?

While it's unlikely that either candidate will run away with victory come November, voter data from the last presidential election does say a lot. In fact, it says the opposite of what Tyler claims.

In the run up to the 2020 election, polls overestimated Biden's support by a large magnitude — 3-4 points over the popular vote and 7-8 points over the Electoral College — thereby underestimating Trump's strengths.

A lot can change between now and November. But it's a mistake for Biden and Democrats to ignore the warning signs.

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